- By Surarika Das
- Wed, 29 Apr 2026 06:06 PM (IST)
- Source:JND
India must wait till 6:30 to release the exit polls. The second and last phase of Bengal elections is being held on Wednesday. The previous phases starting on April 9, elections were carried out in Assam, Kerala, and Puducherry, followed by Tamil Nadu and the first phase in West Bengal on April 23.
On the voter projections, a certain restriction has remained in force. Significantly, this is not a matter of choice but a mandate under Section 126A of the Representation of the People Act, 1951. It ensured that the democratic process remains untainted by premature date projections.
What Is An Exit Poll?
An exit poll is a type of electoral survey formulated based on interactions with voters. Immediately after voting takes place during an election, survey agencies or news channel reporters approach voters in an attempt to gauge their sentiments by asking questions regarding their political preferences, dislikes, key issues, and the factors that influenced their decision while casting their vote.
What Is The Sample Size?
Exit polls involve voters, the number of whom can range from 30,000 to 100,000. Often, data is compiled based on interactions with voters at specific polling booths across various Legislative Assembly or Lok Sabha constituencies. This data is released after the voting process has concluded.
What Is Section 126A?
The ECI has issued a specific notification for the 2026 assembly elections, enforcing a ban on the dissemination of exit polls from 7 am on April 9 to 6.30 pm on April 29. The legal provision is designed to address the rare challenges posed by India’s multi-phase election schedules. Unlike Section 126, which governs the 48-hour “silence period" of campaigning before a specific election, Section 126A particularly focuses on exit polls across the entire duration of the multi-phase polls.
It is created to maintain a “level playing field" for all candidates and parties. By prohibiting the publication of surveys by any medium, be it print, TV, or digital, the Election Commission (EC) ensures that the democratic environment remains “information-neutral" for those voting in the final stages of the election.
What Is Bandwagon?
Voter autonomy protection is the rationale for this restriction. The "bandwagon effect," a psychological phenomenon where early data may unduly affect the minds of indecisive voters, is of particular concern to election bodies.
If exit poll results from early phases or other states were published while others were still waiting to vote, it could create a perceived momentum or a sense of inevitability for a particular party. Such projections could create a “wave" that might not reflect the actual ground reality yet could sway the decisions of those in later phases.
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Last Vote Rule
This “last vote" rule ensures that each voter, regardless of when their phase is, enjoys the same neutral voting environment. Media outlets and news networks must wait until this precise deadline passes before they are permitted to begin broadcasting their projections and seat surveys.
The 30-Minute Buffer
While polling officially ends at 6 pm on the final day, the EC extends the exit poll ban until 6.30 pm. This additional half-hour acts as a significant buffer to ensure that even the last voters waiting in line at the closing hour have finished casting their ballot without outside influence.
