Artificial intelligence is widely expected to reshape many office jobs over the coming years. However, economists have struggled to measure how quickly that shift might happen. Anthropic says it is now working on a way to detect those changes much earlier than traditional labour market data allows.

The company has developed a new system designed to track how much different professions rely on tasks that artificial intelligence can perform. By studying job descriptions alongside how people are actually using AI tools today, Anthropic hopes to identify early signals that certain roles could face disruption.

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New Index Measures How Vulnerable Jobs Are To AI

In a new research paper, Anthropic economists Maxim Masenkoff and Peter McCrory explain how the system works. Their approach relies on an index that evaluates how exposed different job tasks are to automation by large language models.

Instead of looking only at job titles, the system breaks each role down into individual tasks. If a large portion of those tasks can already be completed using AI tools and people are actively using AI for them, the job is considered more vulnerable to automation.

This method allows researchers to build a clearer picture of where artificial intelligence might start reshaping work first.

Programmers And Office Roles Rank High In Exposure.

The early findings suggest that several technology-focused roles could be among the most affected. According to the analysis, programmers stand out as one of the most exposed professions, with AI systems potentially able to handle nearly three quarters of the tasks they typically perform.

Other roles that appear high on the exposure list include customer service representatives, data entry workers, and medical records specialists. These jobs often involve repetitive digital tasks that modern AI systems are increasingly capable of performing.

Physical Jobs Remain Less Vulnerable For Now

The study also highlights that many occupations remain relatively resistant to AI automation. Jobs that require physical activity or a constant human presence appear far less exposed.

Examples include roles such as cooks, lifeguards, and dishwashers. These jobs depend heavily on real-world interaction and manual work, areas where current AI systems still have clear limitations.

No Clear Evidence Of Job Losses Yet

Despite growing concern about artificial intelligence replacing workers, the researchers say there is still no clear evidence that large-scale disruption has already begun.

Their analysis shows that unemployment levels between jobs exposed to AI and those considered more resistant have remained largely unchanged since the launch of ChatGPT.

Early Signs Emerging In Hiring Trends

Even so, the data hints that subtle changes could be starting to appear. The researchers observed a slowdown in hiring among younger workers, particularly those between the ages of 22 and 25.

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As the study suggests, this phenomenon tends to emerge in positions in which companies may start to experiment with AI tools instead of hiring new entry-level workers.

As the full effect of artificial intelligence on employment remains a mystery, the researchers believe that these early signs could be a clue for economists to understand the phenomenon before it is visible in the job market.