IMD Weather Update: Delhi-NCR has seen a noticeable dip in temperatures in recent days, which has raised questions about whether winter could arrive early this year. Adding to it, the national capital recorded a minimum temperature of 21 degrees Celsius on Tuesday, 2.3 degrees below normal. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) noted that this was Delhi’s lowest minimum temperature in September since 2008.
Delhi Temp To Rise From October 1
However, weather experts state that the current change should not be seen as the start of winter yet. This is due to the fact that cooler conditions are not expected to last in the same form in the coming days. According to the IMD forecast, the daytime temperatures in Delhi-NCR will start rising from Friday, October 1, with maximum temperatures likely to remain around 33 degrees Celsius to 35 degrees Celsius. Minimum temperatures are expected at around 22 degrees Celsius to 25 degrees Celsius.
What Does The Forecast Say
Furthermore, the long-range forecast by the IMD for October first week expects conditions to become favourable for the withdrawal of the southwest monsoon from the remaining parts of India during the week. During that time, an active Western Disturbance is also likely to affect northwest India, bringing rainfall in some states including Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, and Uttarakhand.
(Delhi weather forecast: IMD)
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For October 1-7, the IMD has predicted light to moderate rain over parts of the Western Himalayas, some parts of northeast, east, central and peninsular India. However, no heatwave or warm-night conditions are expected anywhere in the country.
Will Winter Arrive Early?
The sudden dip has naturally led to questions about early winter. However, weather experts argue that the current cold spell is mainly linked to weather systems and rainfall and not an early change of season. Speaking to India Today, Devendra Tripathi, founder of Mausam Tak, explained that a deep depression that moved inland from the Bay of Bengal remained active for an unusually long period, creating such weather conditions.
El Nino Getting Stronger
The recent temperature drop is also being linked to the active weather system El Nino, which is getting stronger. The World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) had earlier warned that El Nino is firmly established and is likely to strengthen into a very strong event in the coming months.
The unusually warm tropical Pacific Ocean is expected to push the event towards its peak around the end of 2026, with its effects continuing into early 2027. However, its impact on the coming winter in India is expected to become clearer over the next few months.